CBO Says Rates 1.5 Points Higher Would Add $6 Trillion to Deficits by 2036, With the 10-Year Yield Already at 5.2%
The Congressional Budget Office published two higher-interest-rate scenarios on October 8, and the bond market is already more than halfway to the worse one. CBO’s February baseline assumed the 10-year Treasury yield would average 4.3% from 2026 to 2036. The …